Libertad vs San Lorenzo Prediction— Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura

Match Preview & Prediction

Libertad face San Lorenzo in Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Libertad a 61% chance, the draw 25% and San Lorenzo 15%, so Libertad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Libertad and 0.8 for San Lorenzo (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Libertad are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 0.22 for San Lorenzo. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +3.4%. This match finished 5-0.