Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford Prediction & Tips

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Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 14 Tallaght Stadium· Dublin Friday, May 1, 2026 19:00

Shamrock Rovers PPG 2.67

1-0 HIT CS2

Waterford PPG 0.17

Away· +32.6% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 68.8%

Odds: 1.23 EV: -15.4%

Draw 21.0%

Odds: 5.50 EV: +15.5%

Away 10.2%

Odds: 13.00 EV: +32.6%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.1% Odds: 1.55 -13.0%

Over 3.5 33.7% Odds: 2.35 -20.8%

BTTS 48.1% Odds: 2.00 -3.8%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✔

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Shamrock Rovers

2.18

Waterford

0.75

Model SuggestionHome -15.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -15.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+32.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.67), Away POOR (0.17) - Strong consensus