Real Zaragoza vs Granada Prediction & Tips

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Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 38 Ibercaja Estadio· Zaragoza Friday, May 1, 2026 19:00

Real Zaragoza PPG 1.00

0-1 HIT CS3

Granada PPG 1.06

Away· +18.6% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.0%

Odds: 2.26 EV: -25.4%

Draw 31.7%

Odds: 3.05 EV: -3.3%

Away 35.4%

Odds: 3.35 EV: +18.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.7% Odds: 2.15 -8.2%

Over 3.5 21.8% Odds: 3.85 -16.1%

BTTS 50.5% Odds: 1.83 -7.6%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✔

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Zaragoza

1.17

Granada

1.22

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+18.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.06)