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Cork City vs Cobh Ramblers Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Matchday 13 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 18:45

Cork City

PPG 3.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDWD

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Cobh Ramblers

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWDD

// Model verdict

Home 66% chance

Model probability 61.3% vs bookmaker-implied 68.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-15.4%0-22.2%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.4%1-110.2%1-24.2%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.8%2-19.8%2-24.1%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.5%3-16.2%3-22.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-05.5%4+-14.6%4+-21.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.3% 68.0% 1.47 -9.9%

Draw 24.6% 25.6% 3.90 -4.1%

Away win 14.1% 13.3% 7.50 +5.8%

Over 2.5 51.6% 54.6% 1.83 -5.6%

Over 3.5 29.4% 33.3% 3.00 -11.8%

BTTS 49.5% 52.6% 1.90 -5.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 88 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 42%

ROI 10.6%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.5%

H 61% / xG 1.9-0.8 / O2.5 52% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.8%

#2 1–1 10.2%

#3 1–0 12.4%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cork City1.9

Cobh Ramblers0.8

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CORK CITY · PPG 3.00

COBH RAMBLERS · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

Chance this pick lands

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=61.3%

Win probability 1X2

Cork City (H) 61.3%

ODDS 1.47 · IMPLIED 68.0% EV -9.9%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -4.1%

Cobh Ramblers (A) 14.1%

ODDS 7.50 · IMPLIED 13.3% EV +5.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cork City face Cobh Ramblers in Ireland - First Division on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cork City a 61% chance, the draw 25% and Cobh Ramblers 14%, so Cork City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Cork City and 0.8 for Cobh Ramblers (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cork City are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Cobh Ramblers. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +5.8%. This match finished 0-1.

Cork City vs Cobh Ramblers Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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