Athlone Town vs Kerry Prediction & Tips

Ireland - First Division Regular Season - 13 Athlone Town Stadium· Athlone Friday, May 1, 2026 18:45

Athlone Town PPG 2.17

0-0 HIT CS5

Kerry PPG 0.33

Home· +20.3% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95% confidence

Home 49.7%

Odds: 2.42 EV: +20.3%

Draw 28.1%

Odds: 3.15 EV: -11.5%

Away 22.2%

Odds: 2.95 EV: -34.5%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Draw ✘

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: 2.10 +5.0%

Over 3.5 28.0% Odds: 3.85 +7.8%

BTTS 53.7% Odds: 1.80 -3.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✔

Athlone Town

1.64

Kerry

1.03

Model SuggestionBTTS -3.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5/Under 43%

BTTS/No 43%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -14.2%

Bet Hit 33% (6 bets)

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.17) vs P(Home)=49.7%