← Back to picks 
Ireland - Premier Division Friday, May 1, 2026 18:45 
Dundalk PPG 2.33 
Shelbourne PPG 2.00
Ireland - Premier Division Friday, May 1, 2026 18:45 Dundalk PPG 2.331-2 HIT CS4
Shelbourne PPG 2.00Home· +23.5% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 61.5% Odds: 1.83 +12.6%
Over 3.5 39.2% Odds: 3.10 +21.5%
BTTS 63.1% Odds: 1.65 +4.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-2 ✔
5th 1-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Dundalk 1.88
Shelbourne 1.30
Model Suggestion
BTTS +4.1% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Home(+23.5%)
Raw EV leader: Home(+23.5%)
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
MODERATE_HOME 75%
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.33) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)