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Italy - Serie A logo Italy flag Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 35 Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani· Pisa Friday, May 1, 2026 18:45
Pisa logo Pisa PPG 0.59
1-2 HIT CS5
Lecce logo Lecce PPG 0.71
Draw· +3.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.6%
Odds: 3.05 EV: -0.6%
Draw 34.7%
Odds: 2.98 EV: +3.4%
Away 32.7%
Odds: 2.48 EV: -18.9%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 33.0% Odds: 2.45 -19.1%
Over 3.5 14.7% Odds: 4.75 -30.2%
BTTS 42.5% Odds: 2.00 -15.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Pisa
1.01
Lecce
1.01

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 53%
ROI -26.7%
Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.59), Away POOR (0.71)

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