Al Diraiyah vs Abha Prediction & Tips

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Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Regular Season - 32 Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium· Riyadh Friday, May 1, 2026 17:50

Al Diraiyah PPG 2.47

2-0 MISS

Abha PPG 2.73

Away· +33.0% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.2%

Odds: 1.75 EV: -33.1%

Draw 27.7%

Odds: 3.65 EV: +1.1%

Away 34.1%

Odds: 3.90 EV: +33.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.5% Odds: 1.62 -6.9%

Over 3.5 35.1% Odds: 2.55 -10.5%

BTTS 61.9% Odds: 1.55 -4.0%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Diraiyah

1.54

Abha

1.45

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+33.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.47), Away EXCELLENT (2.73)