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Rustavi vs Dila Gori Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Regular Season - 10 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 17:00

Rustavi

PPG 2.25 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Dila Gori

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.4%0-113.2%0-25.3%0-31.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.5%1-113.2%1-25.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.3%2-16.6%2-22.7%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.8%3-12.2%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.2% — — —

Draw 36.5% — — —

Away win 26.3% — — —

Over 2.5 27.1% — — —

Over 3.5 11.0% — — —

BTTS 37.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 6.7%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob37.0%

H 37% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 27% / NoBTTS 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.4%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 1–0✓ 16.5%

#4 0–1 13.2%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rustavi1.0

Dila Gori0.8

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 27.1% · O3.5 PROB 11.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RUSTAVI · PPG 2.25

DILA GORI · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.25), Away EXCELLENT (2.25)

Win probability 1X2

Rustavi (H) 37.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 36.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dila Gori (A) 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rustavi face Dila Gori in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rustavi a 37% chance, the draw 37% and Dila Gori 26%, so Rustavi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Rustavi and 0.8 for Dila Gori (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rustavi are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 2.25 for Dila Gori. This match finished 1-0.

Rustavi vs Dila Gori Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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