Today / Denmark - 1. Division / HB Koge vs B 93

HB Koge vs B 93 Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Relegation Group - 28 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 16:30

HB Koge logo
HB Koge
PPG 1.50 · HOME
3 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
B 93 logo
B 93
PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-17.2%0-24.7%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.9%1-111.5%1-27.4%1-33.2%1-4+1.4%2 2-07.1%2-19.2%2-25.9%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.8%3-14.9%3-23.1%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.8%4+-21.8%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 42.7%
Draw 28.0%
Away win 29.3%
Over 2.5 55.0%
Over 3.5 32.7%
BTTS 59.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 62%
Score Hit 33%
ROI -5.4%
Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-2
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob59.5%

H 43% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%
#2 2–1 9.2%
#3 1–2 7.4%
#4 0–0 5.6%
#5 1–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HB Koge1.6
B 931.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.0% · O3.5 PROB 32.7%

Form & verdict PPG

HB KOGE · PPG 1.50

B 93 · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

HB Koge (H) 42.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 28.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
B 93 (A) 29.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

HB Koge face B 93 in Denmark - 1. Division on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HB Koge a 43% chance, the draw 28% and B 93 29%, so HB Koge are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for HB Koge and 1.3 for B 93 (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HB Koge are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.38 for B 93. This match finished 3-2.

PredictVantage

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