Al Arabi vs Al Jubail Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Regular Season - 32 Department of Education Stadium· Unaizah Friday, May 1, 2026 16:10

Al Arabi PPG 0.73

4-3 MISS

Al Jubail PPG 0.07

Away· +34.5% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.2%

Odds: 1.67 EV: -34.5%

Draw 30.9%

Odds: 3.60 EV: +11.2%

Away 29.9%

Odds: 4.50 EV: +34.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.8% Odds: 1.73 -22.5%

Over 3.5 23.6% Odds: 2.80 -33.9%

BTTS 51.9% Odds: 1.67 -13.3%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Arabi

1.33

Al Jubail

1.14

Model SuggestionBTTS -13.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+34.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.73) > Away POOR (0.07)