Today / France - Ligue 2 / Nancy vs Annecy

Nancy vs Annecy Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Matchday 31 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 18:00

Nancy

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDWW

1 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Annecy

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWL

// Model verdict

Away 42% chance

Model probability 50.3% vs bookmaker-implied 37.7% — a clear edge.

+33.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-115.1%0-210.5%0-34.9%0-4+2.3%1 1-09.0%1-112.5%1-28.7%1-34.1%1-4+1.9%2 2-03.7%2-15.2%2-23.6%2-31.7%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.0%3-11.4%3-21.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.3% 37.7% 2.65 -40.9%

Draw 27.4% 31.3% 3.20 -12.3%

Away win 50.3% 37.7% 2.65 +33.3%

Over 2.5 38.5% 47.6% 2.10 -19.1%

Over 3.5 18.6% 26.0% 3.85 -28.4%

BTTS 42.4% 55.6% 1.80 -23.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 13.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-5

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob42.4%

A 50% / xG 0.8-1.4 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 15.1%

#2 1–1 12.5%

#3 0–0 10.8%

#4 0–2 10.5%

#5 1–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nancy0.8

Annecy1.4

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

NANCY · PPG 1.00

ANNECY · PPG 1.27

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Nancy (H) 22.3%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -40.9%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -12.3%

Annecy (A) 50.3%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV +33.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Nancy face Annecy in France - Ligue 2 on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nancy a 22% chance, the draw 27% and Annecy 50%, so Annecy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Nancy and 1.4 for Annecy (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nancy are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.27 for Annecy. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +33.3%. This match finished 1-5.

Nancy vs Annecy Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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