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Sassuolo U20 vs Torino U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 36 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 15:00

Sassuolo U20

PPG 1.18 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Torino U20

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.18), Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-18.0%0-25.2%0-32.2%0-4+1.0%1 1-09.3%1-111.9%1-27.7%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.9%2-18.9%2-25.7%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.4%3-14.4%3-22.8%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.3%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.1% 34.5% 2.90 +16.3%

Draw 28.8% 28.2% 3.55 +2.2%

Away win 31.1% 50.0% 2.00 -37.8%

Over 2.5 52.5% 66.7% 1.50 -21.3%

Over 3.5 30.3% — — —

BTTS 57.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob57.9%

D 29% / xG 1.5-1.3 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 0–0 6.2%

#4 1–2 7.7%

#5 1–0✓ 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sassuolo U201.5

Torino U201.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.5% · O3.5 PROB 30.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SASSUOLO U20 · PPG 1.18

TORINO U20 · PPG 1.06

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.18), Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Win probability 1X2

Sassuolo U20 (H) 40.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +16.3%

Draw 28.8%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +2.2%

Torino U20 (A) 31.1%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -37.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sassuolo U20 face Torino U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sassuolo U20 a 40% chance, the draw 29% and Torino U20 31%, so Sassuolo U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Sassuolo U20 and 1.3 for Torino U20 (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sassuolo U20 are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.06 for Torino U20. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +16.3%. This match finished 1-0.

Sassuolo U20 vs Torino U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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