Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Georgia - Erovnuli Liga Regular Season - 10 Spaeri Stadium· Tbilisi Friday, May 1, 2026 15:00

Spaeri PPG 0.80

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Torpedo Kutaisi PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Spaeri face Torpedo Kutaisi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Spaeri a 27% chance, the draw 30% and Torpedo Kutaisi 43%, so Torpedo Kutaisi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Spaeri and 1.4 for Torpedo Kutaisi (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Spaeri are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.00 for Torpedo Kutaisi. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.0%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 30.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 42.9%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 24.8% Odds: — —

BTTS 52.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Spaeri

1.09

Torpedo Kutaisi

1.43

Model SuggestionBTTS  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.80), Away AVERAGE (1.00)