Today / France - National 1 / Versailles vs Orleans

Versailles vs Orleans Prediction— France - National 1

Regular Season - 32 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 15:00

Versailles

PPG 1.86 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Orleans

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.3% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-18.3%0-24.6%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.3%1-112.3%1-26.8%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.3%2-19.1%2-25.0%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.1%3-14.5%3-22.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.3%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.1% 40.0% 2.50 +10.3%

Draw 29.7% 30.8% 3.25 -3.5%

Away win 26.2% 39.2% 2.55 -33.2%

Over 2.5 47.5% 57.8% 1.73 -17.8%

Over 3.5 25.9% 36.4% 2.75 -28.8%

BTTS 53.3% 64.5% 1.55 -17.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 39%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -23.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob53.3%

H 44% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–0✓ 7.6%

#3 1–0 11.3%

#4 2–1 9.1%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Versailles1.5

Orleans1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.5% · O3.5 PROB 25.9%

Form & verdict PPG

VERSAILLES · PPG 1.86

ORLEANS · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.86), Away GOOD (1.71)

Win probability 1X2

Versailles (H) 44.1%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +10.3%

Draw 29.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -3.5%

Orleans (A) 26.2%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -33.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Versailles face Orleans in France - National 1 on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Versailles a 44% chance, the draw 30% and Orleans 26%, so Versailles are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Versailles and 1.1 for Orleans (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Versailles are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.71 for Orleans. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +10.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Versailles vs Orleans Prediction— France - National 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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