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Croatia - First NL logo Croatia flag Croatia - First NL Regular Season - 29 Friday, May 1, 2026 15:00
Sesvete logo Sesvete PPG 1.93
3-0 MISS
Karlovac logo Karlovac PPG 0.85
Away· +5.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.0%
Odds: 1.62 EV: -22.2%
Draw 31.0%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -0.8%
Away 21.0%
Odds: 5.00 EV: +5.0%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 39.5% Odds: —
Over 3.5 19.4% Odds: —
BTTS 45.4% Odds: 2.05 -6.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Sesvete
1.41
Karlovac
0.86

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.93) vs P(Home)=48.0%

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