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FC Andorra vs Albacete Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Regular Season - 38 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 14:15

FC Andorra

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Albacete

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.22)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-18.1%0-24.8%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.2%1-112.2%1-27.2%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.6%2-19.1%2-25.4%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.8%3-14.5%3-22.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.3%4+-21.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.5% — — —

Draw 29.2% — — —

Away win 28.3% — — —

Over 2.5 50.1% — — —

Over 3.5 28.1% — — —

BTTS 55.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 9.7%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.7%

H 42% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 0–0 6.9%

#4 1–0 10.2%

#5 2–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Andorra1.5

Albacete1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FC ANDORRA · PPG 1.50

ALBACETE · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.22)

Win probability 1X2

FC Andorra (H) 42.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Albacete (A) 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Andorra face Albacete in Spain - Segunda División on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Andorra a 43% chance, the draw 29% and Albacete 28%, so FC Andorra are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for FC Andorra and 1.2 for Albacete (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Andorra are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.22 for Albacete. This match finished 0-1.

FC Andorra vs Albacete Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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