Le Mans vs Clermont Prediction— France - Ligue 2

France - Ligue 2 Regular Season - 31 Stade Marie-Marvingt· Le Mans Friday, April 17, 2026 18:00

Le Mans PPG 1.93

1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore

Clermont PPG 0.87

Home· -1.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Le Mans face Clermont in France - Ligue 2 on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Le Mans a 58% chance, the draw 24% and Clermont 18%, so Le Mans are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Le Mans and 0.8 for Clermont (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Le Mans are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 0.87 for Clermont. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.9%

Odds: 1.70 EV: -1.6%

Draw 24.1%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -9.6%

Away 17.9%

Odds: 4.60 EV: -17.7%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.1% Odds: 1.83 -17.5%

Over 3.5 23.8% Odds: 3.10 -26.2%

BTTS 45.0% Odds: 1.73 -22.1%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✔

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Le Mans

1.67

Clermont

0.81

Model SuggestionHome -1.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -1.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5/Under 66%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -12.0%

Bet Hit 46% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.93) vs P(Home)=57.9%