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Sileks vs Shkendija Prediction— Macedonia - First League

Regular Season - 30 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 14:00

Sileks

PPG 1.93 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Shkendija

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home GOOD (1.93)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-18.5%0-25.9%0-32.7%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.7%1-112.0%1-28.3%1-33.8%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.1%2-18.4%2-25.8%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.8%3-13.9%3-22.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.9%4+-21.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.0% — — —

Draw 29.0% — — —

Away win 35.0% — — —

Over 2.5 52.7% — — —

Over 3.5 30.5% — — —

BTTS 58.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 6.8%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob58.3%

D 29% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.0%

#2 2–1 8.4%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 0–0 6.2%

#5 1–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sileks1.4

Shkendija1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.7% · O3.5 PROB 30.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SILEKS · PPG 1.93

SHKENDIJA · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home GOOD (1.93)

Win probability 1X2

Sileks (H) 36.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shkendija (A) 35.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sileks face Shkendija in Macedonia - First League on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sileks a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Shkendija 35%, so Sileks are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Sileks and 1.4 for Shkendija (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sileks are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 2.50 for Shkendija. This match finished 1-1.

Sileks vs Shkendija Prediction— Macedonia - First League

Match Preview & Prediction

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