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Cremonese U20 vs Roma U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 36 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 13:00

Cremonese U20

PPG 0.71 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Roma U20

PPG 1.65 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.65) vs Home POOR (0.71)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-113.6%0-210.4%0-35.3%0-4+2.9%1 1-07.9%1-112.1%1-29.3%1-34.7%1-4+2.6%2 2-03.5%2-15.4%2-24.1%2-32.1%2-4+1.1%3 3-01.0%3-11.6%3-21.2%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 20.1% — — —

Draw 29.4% — — —

Away win 50.5% — — —

Over 2.5 43.7% — — —

Over 3.5 22.7% — — —

BTTS 48.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob48.1%

A 50% / xG 0.9-1.5 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 0–1 13.6%

#3 0–0 8.8%

#4 0–2 10.4%

#5 1–2 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cremonese U200.9

Roma U201.5

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.7% · O3.5 PROB 22.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CREMONESE U20 · PPG 0.71

ROMA U20 · PPG 1.65

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.65) vs Home POOR (0.71)

Win probability 1X2

Cremonese U20 (H) 20.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Roma U20 (A) 50.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cremonese U20 face Roma U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cremonese U20 a 20% chance, the draw 29% and Roma U20 51%, so Roma U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Cremonese U20 and 1.5 for Roma U20 (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cremonese U20 are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 1.65 for Roma U20. This match finished 2-3.

Cremonese U20 vs Roma U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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