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Italy - Serie B Friday, May 1, 2026 13:00 
Spezia PPG 1.11 
Venezia PPG 1.67
Italy - Serie B Friday, May 1, 2026 13:00 Spezia PPG 1.112-2 MISS
Venezia PPG 1.67Draw· +5.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 51.0% Odds: 1.65 -15.8%
Over 3.5 28.9% Odds: 2.62 -24.3%
BTTS 53.8% Odds: 1.60 -13.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-2 ✘
3rd 0-2 ✘
4th 0-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Spezia 1.01
Venezia 1.70
Model Suggestion
BTTS -13.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+5.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+5.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 40 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 57%
Score Hit 60%
ROI 6.9%
Bet Hit 59% (17 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
UPSET_VALUE 63%
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home AVERAGE (1.11)