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Italy - Serie B logo Italy flag Italy - Serie B Regular Season - 37 Stadio Luigi Ferraris· Genoa Friday, May 1, 2026 13:00
Sampdoria logo Sampdoria PPG 1.61
1-0 HIT CS3
Sudtirol logo Sudtirol PPG 1.06
Draw· +6.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.7%
Odds: 2.14 EV: -19.3%
Draw 32.4%
Odds: 3.30 EV: +6.9%
Away 29.9%
Odds: 3.40 EV: +1.7%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 39.7% Odds: 2.00 -20.6%
Over 3.5 19.6% Odds: 3.50 -31.4%
BTTS 48.0% Odds: 1.73 -17.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Sampdoria
1.22
Sudtirol
1.06

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.61) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)

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