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Italy - Serie B Friday, May 1, 2026 13:00 
Modena PPG 1.56 
Reggiana PPG 0.67
Italy - Serie B Friday, May 1, 2026 13:00 Modena PPG 1.562-1 HIT CS5
Reggiana PPG 0.67Draw· +11.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 43.2% Odds: 1.83 -20.9%
Over 3.5 22.3% Odds: 3.10 -30.9%
BTTS 46.9% Odds: 1.77 -17.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Modena 1.56
Reggiana 0.85
Model Suggestion
Home -14.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -14.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+11.7%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+11.7%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.56) vs P(Home)=52.4%