Mantova vs Monza Prediction & Tips

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Italy - Serie B Regular Season - 37 Stadio Danilo Martelli· Mantova Friday, May 1, 2026 13:00

Mantova PPG 1.50

3-2 MISS

Monza PPG 1.67

Home· +19.1% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 25.9%

Odds: 4.60 EV: +19.1%

Draw 30.5%

Odds: 3.60 EV: +9.8%

Away 43.5%

Odds: 1.74 EV: -24.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.5% Odds: 1.85 -17.7%

Over 3.5 23.3% Odds: 3.25 -24.3%

BTTS 50.9% Odds: 1.77 -9.9%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Mantova

1.04

Monza

1.41

Model SuggestionBTTS -9.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+19.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.67)