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Juve Stabia vs Frosinone Prediction— Italy - Serie B

Regular Season - 37 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 13:00

Juve Stabia

PPG 1.83 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Frosinone

PPG 2.06 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.83), Away EXCELLENT (2.06)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-111.0%0-27.7%0-33.6%0-4+1.7%1 1-09.0%1-112.6%1-28.8%1-34.1%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.1%2-17.2%2-25.0%2-32.4%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.0%3-12.7%3-21.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.8% — — —

Draw 30.2% — — —

Away win 41.0% — — —

Over 2.5 46.7% — — —

Over 3.5 25.2% — — —

BTTS 53.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 4.0%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 21%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob53.2%

A 41% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 47% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 7.8%

#3 0–1✓ 11.0%

#4 1–2 8.8%

#5 0–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juve Stabia1.1

Frosinone1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.7% · O3.5 PROB 25.2%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVE STABIA · PPG 1.83

FROSINONE · PPG 2.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.83), Away EXCELLENT (2.06)

Win probability 1X2

Juve Stabia (H) 28.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Frosinone (A) 41.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Juve Stabia face Frosinone in Italy - Serie B on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juve Stabia a 29% chance, the draw 30% and Frosinone 41%, so Frosinone are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Juve Stabia and 1.4 for Frosinone (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juve Stabia are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 2.06 for Frosinone. This match finished 0-1.

Juve Stabia vs Frosinone Prediction— Italy - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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