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Italy - Serie B logo Italy flag Italy - Serie B Regular Season - 37 Stadio dei Marmi· Carrara Friday, May 1, 2026 13:00
Carrarese logo Carrarese PPG 1.56
0-0 HIT CS2
Cesena logo Cesena PPG 1.17
Home· -1.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.8%
Odds: 2.26 EV: -1.0%
Draw 29.7%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -2.0%
Away 26.5%
Odds: 3.05 EV: -19.2%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.83 -12.9%
Over 3.5 25.9% Odds: 3.10 -19.7%
BTTS 53.4% Odds: 1.62 -13.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Carrarese
1.48
Cesena
1.10

Model Suggestion

BTTS -13.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)

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