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Italy - Serie B
Regular Season - 37
Stadio dei Marmi· Carrara
Friday, May 1, 2026
13:00
Carrarese
PPG 1.56
0-0
HIT CS2
Cesena
PPG 1.17
Home· -1.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
43.8%
Odds: 2.26
EV: -1.0%
Draw
29.7%
Odds: 3.30
EV: -2.0%
Away
26.5%
Odds: 3.05
EV: -19.2%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
47.6%
Odds: 1.83
-12.9%
Over 3.5
25.9%
Odds: 3.10
-19.7%
BTTS
53.4%
Odds: 1.62
-13.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✔
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Carrarese
1.48
Cesena
1.10
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-13.5%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)