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Italy - Serie B
Regular Season - 37
Stadio San Nicola· Bari
Friday, May 1, 2026
13:00
Bari
PPG 1.28
2-0
MISS
Entella
PPG 0.44
Home· +9.5%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
39.1%
Odds: 2.80
EV: +9.5%
Draw
31.9%
Odds: 3.20
EV: +2.1%
Away
29.1%
Odds: 2.50
EV: -27.3%
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
41.3%
Odds: 2.10
-13.3%
Over 3.5
20.8%
Odds: 3.80
-21.0%
BTTS
49.1%
Odds: 1.77
-13.1%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Bari
1.27
Entella
1.07
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 40 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
53%
O2.5/Under
55%
BTTS/No
57%
Score Hit
60%
ROI
6.9%
Bet Hit
59%
(17 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.28) vs P(Home)=39.1%