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Tianjin JT vs Wuhan Three T. Prediction— China - Super League

Matchday 9 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 11:35

Tianjin JT

PPG 0.50 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLDD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Wuhan Three T.

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDWD

// Model verdict

BTTS 60% chance

Model probability 62.3% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+5.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-15.3%0-23.3%0-31.4%0-4+0.6%1 1-08.1%1-110.1%1-26.4%1-32.7%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.7%2-19.7%2-26.1%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.9%3-16.1%3-23.8%3-31.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-14.5%4+-22.8%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.0% 51.3% 1.95 -0.5%

Draw 25.4% 30.3% 3.30 -16.2%

Away win 23.6% 27.4% 3.65 -13.9%

Over 2.5 61.1% 52.6% 1.90 +16.1%

Over 3.5 38.8% 30.8% 3.25 +26.1%

BTTS 62.3% 58.8% 1.70 +5.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 113 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -10.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.3%

H 51% / xG 1.9-1.3 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 7.7%

#4 1–0 8.1%

#5 1–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tianjin JT1.9

Wuhan Three T.1.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.1% · O3.5 PROB 38.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TIANJIN JT · PPG 0.50

WUHAN THREE T. · PPG 0.25

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.50), Away POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

Tianjin JT (H) 51.0%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -0.5%

Draw 25.4%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -16.2%

Wuhan Three T. (A) 23.6%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -13.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tianjin JT face Wuhan Three T. in China - Super League on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tianjin JT a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Wuhan Three T. 24%, so Tianjin JT are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Tianjin JT and 1.3 for Wuhan Three T. (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tianjin JT are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.25 for Wuhan Three T.. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +26.1%. This match finished 2-2.

Tianjin JT vs Wuhan Three T. Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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