Shandong T. PPG 1.75
Qingdao West C. PPG 0.40Shandong T. face Qingdao West C. in China - Super League on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shandong T. a 57% chance, the draw 26% and Qingdao West C. 17%, so Shandong T. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Shandong T. and 0.9 for Qingdao West C. (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shandong T. are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.40 for Qingdao West C.. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +5.8%. This match finished 1-1.
Based on 43 resolved predictions
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=57.4%