← Back to picks

Shandong T. vs Qingdao West C. Prediction— China - Super League

China - Super League logo China flag China - Super League Regular Season - 9 Jinan Olympic Sports Center· Jinan Friday, May 1, 2026 11:35
Shandong T. logo Shandong T. PPG 1.75
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Qingdao West C. logo Qingdao West C. PPG 0.40
Draw· +5.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Shandong T. face Qingdao West C. in China - Super League on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shandong T. a 57% chance, the draw 26% and Qingdao West C. 17%, so Shandong T. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Shandong T. and 0.9 for Qingdao West C. (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shandong T. are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.40 for Qingdao West C.. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +5.8%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.4%
Odds: 1.49 EV: -14.5%
Draw 25.8%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +5.8%
Away 16.8%
Odds: 5.70 EV: -4.2%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.8% Odds: 1.57 -18.7%
Over 3.5 29.6% Odds: 2.40 -29.0%
BTTS 51.9% Odds: 1.62 -15.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Shandong T.
1.83
Qingdao West C.
0.91

Model Suggestion

Home -14.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -14.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+5.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 23%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 23%
ROI -11.2%
Bet Hit 50% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=57.4%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org