Dalian Yingbo vs Chongqing T. Prediction— China - Super League

China - Super League Regular Season - 9 Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium· Dalian Friday, May 1, 2026 11:00

Dalian Yingbo PPG 2.25

1-0 MISS

Chongqing T. PPG 2.33

Away· +56.4% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Dalian Yingbo face Chongqing T. in China - Super League on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dalian Yingbo a 30% chance, the draw 30% and Chongqing T. 40%, so Chongqing T. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Dalian Yingbo and 1.4 for Chongqing T. (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dalian Yingbo are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 2.33 for Chongqing T.. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +56.4%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.7%

Odds: 1.90 EV: -43.6%

Draw 30.2%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -1.8%

Away 40.1%

Odds: 3.90 EV: +56.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.2% Odds: 1.95 -8.0%

Over 3.5 25.6% Odds: 3.35 -14.2%

BTTS 53.7% Odds: 1.73 -7.1%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Dalian Yingbo

1.17

Chongqing T.

1.39

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+56.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 23%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 65%

Score Hit 23%

ROI -11.2%

Bet Hit 50% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.25), Away EXCELLENT (2.33)