Today / Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Hussein
Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Hussein Prediction
Thursday, April 30, 2026
// Model verdict
Away
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.85) vs Home POOR (0.23)
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 75% / xG 0.7-2.5 / O2.5 62% / NoBTTS 48%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.9%
Form & verdict
SAMA AL SARHAN · PPG 0.23
AL HUSSEIN · PPG 1.85
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.85) vs Home POOR (0.23)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Sama Al Sarhan face Al Hussein on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sama Al Sarhan a 7% chance, the draw 17% and Al Hussein 75%, so Al Hussein are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Sama Al Sarhan and 2.5 for Al Hussein (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sama Al Sarhan are averaging 0.23 points per game versus 1.85 for Al Hussein. This match finished 1-3.