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Al Kharitiyath vs Al Waab Prediction— Qatar - Second Division

Qatar - Second Division logo Qatar flag Qatar - Second Division Regular Season - 14 Al Khor Stadium· Al Khor Thursday, April 30, 2026 16:00
Al Kharitiyath logo Al Kharitiyath PPG 2.00
0-1 MISS
Al Waab logo Al Waab PPG 1.33
Home· +18.0% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Kharitiyath face Al Waab in Qatar - Second Division on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Kharitiyath a 64% chance, the draw 23% and Al Waab 13%, so Al Kharitiyath are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Al Kharitiyath and 0.8 for Al Waab (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Kharitiyath are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.33 for Al Waab. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +18.0%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 63.8%
Odds: 1.85 EV: +18.0%
Draw 23.1%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -19.1%
Away 13.1%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -54.1%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.0% Odds: 1.62 -10.9%
Over 3.5 32.6% Odds: —
BTTS 50.9% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Kharitiyath
2.04
Al Waab
0.84

Model Suggestion

Home +18.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

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