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SK Poltava U19 vs Kryvbas KR U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 26 ·Thursday, April 30, 2026, 11:00

SK Poltava U19

PPG 0.67 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kryvbas KR U19

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.67), Away POOR (0.75)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-18.6%0-27.2%0-34.0%0-4+2.4%1 1-06.7%1-111.2%1-29.3%1-35.2%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.3%2-17.2%2-26.0%2-33.3%2-4+2.0%3 3-01.9%3-13.1%3-22.6%3-31.4%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.3%4+-21.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.1% — — —

Draw 27.4% — — —

Away win 44.5% — — —

Over 2.5 56.8% — — —

Over 3.5 34.4% — — —

BTTS 60.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob60.6%

A 44% / xG 1.3-1.7 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 1–2✓ 9.3%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 0–2 7.2%

#5 0–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SK Poltava U191.3

Kryvbas KR U191.7

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.8% · O3.5 PROB 34.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SK POLTAVA U19 · PPG 0.67

KRYVBAS KR U19 · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.67), Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

SK Poltava U19 (H) 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kryvbas KR U19 (A) 44.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SK Poltava U19 face Kryvbas KR U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SK Poltava U19 a 28% chance, the draw 27% and Kryvbas KR U19 45%, so Kryvbas KR U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for SK Poltava U19 and 1.7 for Kryvbas KR U19 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SK Poltava U19 are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.75 for Kryvbas KR U19. This match finished 1-2.

SK Poltava U19 vs Kryvbas KR U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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