Z. Sosnowiec vs Stalowa Wola Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Poland - II Liga - East Regular Season - 30 ArcelorMittal Park· Sosnowiec Thursday, April 30, 2026 16:00

Z. Sosnowiec PPG 1.00

0-0 MISS

Stalowa Wola PPG 1.07

Away· +1.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Z. Sosnowiec face Stalowa Wola in Poland - II Liga - East on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Z. Sosnowiec a 29% chance, the draw 27% and Stalowa Wola 44%, so Stalowa Wola are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Z. Sosnowiec and 1.7 for Stalowa Wola (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Z. Sosnowiec are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.07 for Stalowa Wola. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +1.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.3%

Odds: 2.62 EV: -23.2%

Draw 26.7%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -17.2%

Away 44.0%

Odds: 2.30 EV: +1.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.7% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 37.4% Odds: — —

BTTS 62.9% Odds: 1.55 -2.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Z. Sosnowiec

1.38

Stalowa Wola

1.72

Model SuggestionBTTS -2.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -2.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+1.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 23.1%

Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.07)