Sebail vs Cebrayil Prediction & Tips

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Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta Regular Season - 24 ASCO Arena· Baku Thursday, April 30, 2026 13:00

Sebail PPG 2.00

6-0 MISS

Cebrayil PPG 0.42

Draw· +19.5% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 60.8%

Odds: 1.30 EV: -21.0%

Draw 23.9%

Odds: 5.00 EV: +19.5%

Away 15.3%

Odds: 6.50 EV: -0.5%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 33.6% Odds: — —

BTTS 53.8% Odds: 1.95 +4.9%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sebail

2.00

Cebrayil

0.93

Model SuggestionHome -21.0% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-21.0%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=60.8%