Today / Berkane vs Kawkab M.

Berkane vs Kawkab M. Prediction

Thursday, April 30, 2026

Berkane

PPG 2.25 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Kawkab M.

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.5%0-19.6%0-23.7%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.4%1-112.6%1-24.9%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.7%2-18.2%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.7%3-13.6%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.4% — — —

Draw 32.5% — — —

Away win 20.1% — — —

Over 2.5 34.5% — — —

Over 3.5 15.7% — — —

BTTS 41.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob41.1%

H 47% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 41%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 16.4%

#3 0–0 12.5%

#4 2–0 10.7%

#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Berkane1.3

Kawkab M.0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.5% · O3.5 PROB 15.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BERKANE · PPG 2.25

KAWKAB M. · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=47.4%

Win probability 1X2

Berkane (H) 47.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kawkab M. (A) 20.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Berkane face Kawkab M. on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Berkane a 47% chance, the draw 33% and Kawkab M. 20%, so Berkane are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Berkane and 0.8 for Kawkab M. (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Berkane are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 0.50 for Kawkab M.. This match finished 0-1.

Berkane vs Kawkab M. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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