Today / LSK Hansa vs Hildesheim

LSK Hansa vs Hildesheim Prediction

Thursday, April 30, 2026

LSK Hansa
PPG 1.75 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Hildesheim
PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-15.0%0-23.8%0-32.0%0-4+1.1%1 1-06.1%1-19.4%1-27.3%1-33.7%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.8%2-18.9%2-26.9%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.6%3-15.6%3-24.3%3-32.2%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-14.1%4+-23.1%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.9%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 44.7%
Draw 25.0%
Away win 30.2%
Over 2.5 66.6%
Over 3.5 44.8%
BTTS 68.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob68.1%

H 45% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%
#2 2–1 8.9%
#3 1–2 7.3%
#4 2–2 6.9%
#5 2–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

LSK Hansa1.9
Hildesheim1.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.6% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LSK HANSA · PPG 1.75

HILDESHEIM · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

LSK Hansa (H) 44.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Hildesheim (A) 30.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

LSK Hansa face Hildesheim on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LSK Hansa a 45% chance, the draw 25% and Hildesheim 30%, so LSK Hansa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for LSK Hansa and 1.5 for Hildesheim (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LSK Hansa are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.50 for Hildesheim. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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