Today / Flora vs Harju JK
Flora vs Harju JK Prediction
Thursday, April 30, 2026
// Model verdict
BTTS
Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.40), Away EXCELLENT (2.25)
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 48% / xG 1.8-1.3 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 61%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.1%
Form & verdict
FLORA · PPG 2.40
HARJU JK · PPG 2.25
Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.40), Away EXCELLENT (2.25)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Flora face Harju JK on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flora a 48% chance, the draw 27% and Harju JK 26%, so Flora are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Flora and 1.3 for Harju JK (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flora are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 2.25 for Harju JK.