Today / Dcheira vs Union Touarga

Dcheira vs Union Touarga Prediction

Thursday, April 30, 2026

Dcheira

PPG 0.63 · HOME

UPCOMING

Union Touarga

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-111.5%0-26.4%0-32.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.1%1-113.3%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.0%2-17.7%2-24.2%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.7%3-13.0%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.1%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.9% — — —

Draw 32.7% — — —

Away win 32.4% — — —

Over 2.5 39.2% — — —

Over 3.5 19.2% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.7%

D 33% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.5%

#3 1–0 12.1%

#4 0–1 11.5%

#5 2–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dcheira1.2

Union Touarga1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.2% · O3.5 PROB 19.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DCHEIRA · PPG 0.63

UNION TOUARGA · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.63), Away POOR (0.57)

Win probability 1X2

Dcheira (H) 34.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Union Touarga (A) 32.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dcheira face Union Touarga on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dcheira a 35% chance, the draw 33% and Union Touarga 32%, so Dcheira are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Dcheira and 1.1 for Union Touarga (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dcheira are averaging 0.63 points per game versus 0.57 for Union Touarga.

Dcheira vs Union Touarga Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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