Today / Glasgow City W vs Celtic W

Glasgow City W vs Celtic W Prediction

Wednesday, April 29, 2026

Glasgow City W
PPG 2.00 · HOME
0 – 7
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Celtic W
PPG 2.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-15.0%0-22.7%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-09.0%1-19.9%1-25.5%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.0%2-19.9%2-25.5%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.0%3-16.6%3-23.6%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-15.2%4+-22.9%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 56.5%
Draw 24.4%
Away win 19.0%
Over 2.5 59.9%
Over 3.5 37.5%
BTTS 59.2%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-7
xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.2%

H 56% / xG 2.0-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%
#2 2–1 9.9%
#3 2–0 9.0%
#4 1–0 9.0%
#5 3–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Glasgow City W2.0
Celtic W1.1

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.9% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%

Form & verdict PPG

GLASGOW CITY W · PPG 2.00

CELTIC W · PPG 2.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.08)

Win probability 1X2

Glasgow City W (H) 56.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Celtic W (A) 19.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Glasgow City W face Celtic W on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Glasgow City W a 56% chance, the draw 24% and Celtic W 19%, so Glasgow City W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Glasgow City W and 1.1 for Celtic W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Glasgow City W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.08 for Celtic W. This match finished 0-7.

PredictVantage

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