Today / Verden 04 vs BSV Rehden
Verden 04 vs BSV Rehden Prediction
Wednesday, April 29, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 51% / xG 2.1-1.4 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 68%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.1% · O3.5 PROB 46.5%
Form & verdict
VERDEN 04 · PPG 1.69
BSV REHDEN · PPG 1.50
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.69), Away GOOD (1.50)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Verden 04 face BSV Rehden on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Verden 04 a 51% chance, the draw 24% and BSV Rehden 25%, so Verden 04 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Verden 04 and 1.4 for BSV Rehden (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Verden 04 are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.50 for BSV Rehden. This match finished 0-1.