Today / Lotte vs Bocholt

Lotte vs Bocholt Prediction

Wednesday, April 29, 2026

Lotte

PPG 1.21 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Bocholt

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.21), Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-16.4%0-24.6%0-32.2%0-4+1.1%1 1-07.3%1-110.7%1-27.7%1-33.7%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.2%2-18.9%2-26.5%2-33.1%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.4%3-15.0%3-23.6%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-13.1%4+-22.2%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.5% — — —

Draw 26.8% — — —

Away win 31.8% — — —

Over 2.5 60.5% — — —

Over 3.5 38.1% — — —

BTTS 63.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.9%

H 42% / xG 1.7-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.7%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.7%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 2–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lotte1.7

Bocholt1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 38.1%

Form & verdict PPG

LOTTE · PPG 1.21

BOCHOLT · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.21), Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Win probability 1X2

Lotte (H) 41.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bocholt (A) 31.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lotte face Bocholt on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lotte a 42% chance, the draw 27% and Bocholt 32%, so Lotte are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Lotte and 1.5 for Bocholt (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lotte are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.36 for Bocholt. This match finished 1-1.

Lotte vs Bocholt Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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