Wadi Degla PPG 1.54
Al Ittihad PPG 0.79Wadi Degla face Al Ittihad in Egypt - Premier League on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wadi Degla a 45% chance, the draw 32% and Al Ittihad 23%, so Wadi Degla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Wadi Degla and 0.9 for Al Ittihad (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wadi Degla are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 0.79 for Al Ittihad. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +7.3%. This match finished 4-1.
Based on 54 resolved predictions
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.54) > Away POOR (0.79)