Today / Modern Sport vs El Geish

Modern Sport vs El Geish Prediction

Wednesday, April 29, 2026

Modern Sport

PPG 1.08 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

El Geish

PPG 0.85 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.9%0-111.5%0-24.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.9%1-113.0%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.5%2-17.4%2-22.8%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.6%3-12.8%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.1% — — —

Draw 35.0% — — —

Away win 22.9% — — —

Over 2.5 29.7% — — —

Over 3.5 12.6% — — —

BTTS 38.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob38.4%

H 42% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 30% / NoBTTS 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 14.9%

#2 1–1 13.0%

#3 1–0 16.9%

#4 0–1 11.5%

#5 2–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Modern Sport1.1

El Geish0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 29.7% · O3.5 PROB 12.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MODERN SPORT · PPG 1.08

EL GEISH · PPG 0.85

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.08), Away POOR (0.85)

Win probability 1X2

Modern Sport (H) 42.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

El Geish (A) 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Modern Sport face El Geish on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Modern Sport a 42% chance, the draw 35% and El Geish 23%, so Modern Sport are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Modern Sport and 0.8 for El Geish (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Modern Sport are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 0.85 for El Geish. This match finished 0-0.

Modern Sport vs El Geish Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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