Today / Safa vs Simal
Safa vs Simal Prediction
Wednesday, April 29, 2026
// Model verdict
Home
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.17), Away POOR (0.55) - Strong consensus
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 82% / xG 3.0-0.8 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 52%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.0% · O3.5 PROB 52.6%
Form & verdict
SAFA · PPG 2.17
SIMAL · PPG 0.55
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.17), Away POOR (0.55) - Strong consensus
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Safa face Simal on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Safa a 82% chance, the draw 13% and Simal 6%, so Safa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Safa and 0.8 for Simal (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Safa are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 0.55 for Simal. This match finished 0-0.