Today / Persik Kediri vs Borneo

Persik Kediri vs Borneo Prediction

Wednesday, April 29, 2026

Persik Kediri

PPG 1.86 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Borneo

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.86), Away GOOD (1.86)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-18.5%0-27.0%0-33.9%0-4+2.3%1 1-06.8%1-111.2%1-29.2%1-35.1%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.5%2-17.4%2-26.1%2-33.3%2-4+2.0%3 3-02.0%3-13.2%3-22.6%3-31.5%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.4%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.9% — — —

Draw 27.5% — — —

Away win 43.6% — — —

Over 2.5 56.7% — — —

Over 3.5 34.3% — — —

BTTS 60.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob60.6%

A 44% / xG 1.3-1.6 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 2–1 7.4%

#4 0–2 7.0%

#5 0–0 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Persik Kediri1.3

Borneo1.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.7% · O3.5 PROB 34.3%

Form & verdict PPG

PERSIK KEDIRI · PPG 1.86

BORNEO · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.86), Away GOOD (1.86)

Win probability 1X2

Persik Kediri (H) 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Borneo (A) 43.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Persik Kediri face Borneo on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Persik Kediri a 29% chance, the draw 28% and Borneo 44%, so Borneo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Persik Kediri and 1.6 for Borneo (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Persik Kediri are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.86 for Borneo. This match finished 0-1.

Persik Kediri vs Borneo Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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