Ferro Carril vs Almirante Brown Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

Ferro Carril face Almirante Brown in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Tuesday, April 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ferro Carril a 28% chance, the draw 40% and Almirante Brown 32%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.6 for Ferro Carril and 0.8 for Almirante Brown (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ferro Carril are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Almirante Brown. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +44.9%. This match finished 0-1.