Concarneau vs Rouen Prediction— France - National 1

France - National 1 Regular Season - 30 Stade Guy Piriou· Concarneau Friday, April 17, 2026 17:30

Concarneau PPG 1.23

0-0 HIT CS4

Rouen PPG 1.62

Away· +19.5% ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Concarneau face Rouen in France - National 1 on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Concarneau a 20% chance, the draw 27% and Rouen 53%, so Rouen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Concarneau and 1.5 for Rouen (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Concarneau are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.62 for Rouen. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +19.5%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 20.2%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -39.4%

Draw 26.7%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -17.2%

Away 53.1%

Odds: 2.25 EV: +19.5%

Model lean: Away

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 39.1% Odds: 2.15 -15.9%

Over 3.5 19.1% Odds: 3.90 -25.5%

BTTS 42.0% Odds: 1.83 -23.1%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✔

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Concarneau

0.79

Rouen

1.46

Model SuggestionAway +19.5% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5/Under 39%

BTTS/No 44%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 17.5%

Bet Hit 58% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.23) vs Away GOOD (1.62)