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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League logo Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 30 Kingdom Arena· Riyadh Tuesday, April 28, 2026 18:00
Al Hilal logo Al Hilal PPG 2.47
1-0 MISS
Damak logo Damak PPG 0.79
Draw· +48.5% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 73.4%
Odds: 1.15 EV: -15.6%
Draw 19.8%
Odds: 7.50 EV: +48.5%
Away 6.8%
Odds: 15.00 EV: +2.0%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.1% Odds: 1.30 -11.5%
Over 3.5 64.6% Odds: 1.80 +16.3%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.85 -2.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0
2nd 4-0
3rd 2-0
4th 5-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Hilal
3.76
Damak
0.67

Model Suggestion

Home -15.6% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-15.6%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -4.1%
Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.47), Away POOR (0.79) - Strong consensus

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