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Al Bukayriyah vs Jeddah Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Regular Season - 31 ·Tuesday, April 28, 2026, 17:50

Al Bukayriyah

PPG 1.47 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Jeddah

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.4%0-112.9%0-26.7%0-32.3%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.0%1-113.5%1-27.0%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.8%2-17.1%2-23.7%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.4%3-12.5%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.5% 55.6% 1.80 -32.5%

Draw 32.8% 29.9% 3.35 +9.9%

Away win 29.7% 24.4% 4.10 +21.8%

Over 2.5 44.4% 51.3% 1.95 -13.4%

Over 3.5 15.9% 29.4% 3.40 -45.9%

BTTS 49.5% 55.6% 1.80 -10.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 66%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.5%

D 33% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.4%

#3 1–0 13.0%

#4 0–1 12.9%

#5 2–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Bukayriyah1.1

Jeddah1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 15.9%

Form & verdict PPG

AL BUKAYRIYAH · PPG 1.47

JEDDAH · PPG 1.47

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.47), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Al Bukayriyah (H) 37.5%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -32.5%

Draw 32.8%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +9.9%

Jeddah (A) 29.7%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +21.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Bukayriyah face Jeddah in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Tuesday, April 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Bukayriyah a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Jeddah 30%, so Al Bukayriyah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Al Bukayriyah and 1.0 for Jeddah (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Bukayriyah are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.47 for Jeddah. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +21.8%. This match finished 1-1.

Al Bukayriyah vs Jeddah Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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